Each week I run a survey on Twitter, asking people if they are Bullish or Bearish based on “Fundamental“ vs “Technical“ rationale. I run the survey for equities and bonds. The historical data is in the file below.
If you would like to participate in the survey simply follow on Twitter: @Callum_Thomas — I post the polls Saturday afternoon EST, and they run through to Sunday afternoon.
The good thing about that is it gives the most timely surveyed sentiment update for the end of the week as the various other surveys tend to go out early/mid/later-week.
STANDARD CHARTS
I will update these charts after the final results each week.
UPDATED TO: 5 December 2022
Equities
Bulls vs Bears - Aggregate View
i.e. overall bulls vs bears, plotted vs the S&P500, with 4-week moving average.
Bulls vs Bears - Fundamentals vs Technicals
i.e. bulls vs bears spread for “Fundamentals“ and “Technicals“ vs the S&P500.
Bonds
Bulls vs Bears - Aggregate View
i.e. overall bulls vs bears, plotted vs the UST 10yr yield (inverted).
Bulls vs Bears - Fundamentals vs Technicals
i.e. bulls vs bears spread for “Fundamentals“ and “Technicals“ vs US Aggregate Bond.
Combined/Macro
Combines the fundamental bulls vs bears for both surveys (hence a combined view of the macro/fundamental situation).
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Really starting to see some interesting trends in the data as the macro/market situation evolves...
This macro combination is great.